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@ARTICLE{Fink:277791,
author = {Fink, Anne and Pavlou, Maria Angeliki S and Roomp, Kirsten
and Schneider, Jochen G},
title = {{D}eclining trends in the incidence of {P}arkinson's
disease: {A} cohort study in {G}ermany.},
journal = {Journal of Parkinson's Disease},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
issn = {1877-7171},
address = {Amsterdam},
publisher = {IOS Press},
reportid = {DZNE-2025-00469},
pages = {1877718X241306132},
year = {2025},
abstract = {BackgroundEpidemiologic evidence from different countries
shows both increasing and decreasing incidence rates of
Parkinson's disease over time without clear
trends.ObjectiveWe aimed to investigate age-specific
incidence rates of Parkinson's disease and possible
explanations for the observed trends in Germany over a
10-year period.MethodsTwo different random samples of
subjects aged ≥50 years included in 2004-2009 and
2014-2019, each consisting of 250,000 individuals, were
drawn from Germany's largest health care insurance company
followed up for new Parkinson's disease cases. We compared
the age-specific incidence rates of Parkinson's disease for
both cohorts and performed Cox regression models to
calculate the hazard ratios (HR) of PD in the second period
compared with the first period, adjusted for age, sex, and
risk factors for Parkinson's disease.ResultsFor most age
groups in men and in women, we found lower age-specific
Parkinson's disease incidence rates in the second period.
Cox regression analysis showed an overall $18\%$ risk
reduction in Parkinson's disease incidence (HR = 0.82,
$95\%$ confidence interval [0.76-0.89]). Mean age at
diagnosis increased in men (+1.9 years) and women (+0.8
years). After adjustment for risk factors, the HR was 0.78
[0.72-0.85]. Sensitivity analysis considering the competing
event of death showed an HR of 0.79 [0.73-0.86]),
demonstrating the independence of time trends from changes
in death rates.ConclusionsOur data show that the risk of
Parkinson's disease has decreased over time and that this
decrease is independent of factors such as changes in death
rates, age structure, sex, and specific risk factors.},
keywords = {Humans / Parkinson Disease: epidemiology / Germany:
epidemiology / Male / Female / Incidence / Middle Aged /
Aged / Cohort Studies / Aged, 80 and over / Risk Factors /
Proportional Hazards Models / Age Factors / cohort study
(Other) / epidemiology (Other) / parkinson's disease
(Other)},
cin = {AG Doblhammer},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-2719)1012002},
pnm = {354 - Disease Prevention and Healthy Aging (POF4-354)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-354},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:39973480},
doi = {10.1177/1877718X241306132},
url = {https://pub.dzne.de/record/277791},
}